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Abstract:NZD/USD consolidates above 0.6050 as market sentiment remains calm due to an extended weekend holiday in the United States. The recent increase in the debt ceiling will prevent a default but may lead to credit rating downgrades for financial institutions. Strong volatility is expected in the US dollar index following the release of employment data later this week.
In the early Asian session, NZD/USD is consolidating above the nearby support level of 0.6060, as the US market reopens today after an extended weekend holiday. It is expected that NZD/USD will break out of its current range and experience increased volatility.
S&P 500 futures surged significantly as investors remain optimistic about the US debt ceiling agreement being passed in Congress before June 5. While the increase in the debt ceiling will prevent default, it may lead to credit rating downgrades for financial institutions.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to face resistance near 104.30. The upside potential for the index is limited due to the potential increase in the US debt ceiling, while the downside is supported by prospects of the Federal Reserve (Fed) further raising interest rates.
This week, the US employment situation will remain a focus in the market. On Wednesday, the US JOLTS Job Openings data will be released, with an expected figure of 9.35 million, compared to the previous value of 9.59 million. This indicates a slowdown in hiring processes by companies due to dimmer economic outlook. Later, the US ADP Employment Change (May) will be in focus, with an expected figure of 170,000, lower than the previous value of 269,000.
For NZD/USD, the Caixin Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (May) data will also be in focus. The expected figure for May is 49.5, indicating a stable manufacturing activity. A reading below 50 signifies contraction in the manufacturing sector.
It is worth noting that New Zealand is one of China's major trading partners, and stability in Chinese factory activity may weigh on NZD/USD.
NZD/USD
Overview
Latest Price: 0.6052
Daily Change: 0.0006
Daily Change %: 0.10
Today's Open: 0.6046
Trend
20-day Moving Average: 0.6226
50-day Moving Average: 0.6221
100-day Moving Average: 0.6267
200-day Moving Average: 0.6153
Levels
Previous Day High: 0.6097
Previous Day Low: 0.6032
Last Week High: 0.6303
Last Week Low: 0.6032
Last Month High: 0.6389
Last Month Low: 0.6111
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% Retracement Level: 0.6057
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% Retracement Level: 0.6072
Daily Pivot Support 1: 0.602
Daily Pivot Support 2: 0.5993
Daily Pivot Support 3: 0.5955
Daily Pivot Resistance 1: 0.6085
Daily Pivot Resistance 2: 0.6123
Daily Pivot Resistance 3: 0.615
*The provided information is for reference purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice or investment recommendation.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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